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Las Vegas, Nevada (June 12, 2012)--To those not completely familiar with how Las Vegas betting odds work, sometimes it isn't the best player in the tournament who is the favorite to win. The Las Vegas PGA Tour betting odds feature Tiger Woods as the odds favorite--13/2 as of this writing--but the Las Vegas PGA Tour betting experts have a different player--Lee Westwood-- ranked with the highest "power" rank. --By Brian Hurlburt, odds by Jeff Sherman. Follow @LVGolfInsider
The odds take into account the "liability" of a golfer and since Tiger is a public favorite, his odds are usually lower than what his true value as a pick is because a lot of money will be on him winning, thus creating the liability. In other instances you can find value on golfers who may not be public betting favorites. "It's gonna be accuracy off the tee and approach shots (that are important)," says Jeff Sherman, the founder of Las Vegas' GolfOdds.com. "The course is not the longest so will take driver out of play more than other U.S. Opens. That should benefit Tiger. I expect top performaces out of the likes of Lee Westwood, Matt Kuchar, Sergio Garcia, and Bo Van Pelt for an escalating degree of odds available."
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Westwood opened 12/1 with Kuchar at 25/1, Garcia at 40/1, andd Van Pelt at 50/1. Tiger has been fluctuating back and forth but according to Sherman late action came in on him in the last few hours and his odds are now 13/2 (+650) after opening at 7/1.
As always, we take a look at the official PGATour.com Power Rankings and compare them to the Las Vegas betting odds. Luke Donald leads the Power Rankings followed by Woods, Westwood, Dustin Johnson, and Justin Rose. Donald opened 12/1 in Vegas whole Johnson was 25/1 and Rose was 30/1.
Rankings guru Rob Bolton writes the following about Donald: "As poised as he ever will be to win a major. Just three weeks removed from a successful title defense at the BMW PGA Championship, his second victory worldwide this year. Ranks eighth on the PGA TOUR in fairways hit and fifth in bogey avoidance."
There are also some interesting matchups posted by Sherman, the assistant director of the LVH Superbook. He opened Tiger as a -145 favorite vs. Rory McIlroy (+125) and listed Lee Westwood as a -125 favorite against Donald (+105). This shows Sherman's belief in Westwood as his own power favorite--irregardless of his odds--heading into the event June 14-17 at Olympic Club.
US OPEN ODDS COURTESY of GOLFODDS.com
OLYMPIC CLUB - SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA
JUNE 14-17, 2012
ODDS TO WIN:
TIGER WOODS 13/2
RORY McILROY 12/1
PHIL MICKELSON 15/1
LEE WESTWOOD 12/1
LUKE DONALD 12/1
ADAM SCOTT 40/1
HUNTER MAHAN 30/1
BUBBA WATSON 40/1
DUSTIN JOHNSON 25/1
MATT KUCHAR 25/1
JUSTIN ROSE 30/1
KEEGAN BRADLEY 50/1
JASON DAY 50/1
SERGIO GARCIA 40/1
NICK WATNEY 60/1
STEVE STRICKER 40/1
MARTIN KAYMER 60/1
CHARL SCHWARTZEL 50/1
JIM FURYK 30/1
GRAEME McDOWELL 60/1
LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN 50/1
WEBB SIMPSON 60/1
PADRAIG HARRINGTON 60/1
BO VAN PELT 50/1
BRANDT SNEDEKER 100/1
K.J. CHOI 100/1
IAN POULTER 60/1
PETER HANSON 60/1
GEOFF OGILVY 80/1
RICKIE FOWLER 25/1
BILL HAAS 80/1
AARON BADDELEY 100/1
ERNIE ELS 60/1
RETIEF GOOSEN 125/1
ZACH JOHNSON 40/1
KYLE STANLEY 150/1
FREDRIK JACOBSON 150/1
JASON DUFNER 25/1
GARY WOODLAND 150/1
PAUL CASEY 200/1
CHARLES HOWELL III 125/1
SEAN O'HAIR DNQ
FRANCESCO MOLINARI 80/1
DAVID TOMS 100/1
Y.E. YANG 150/1
ANGEL CABRERA 200/1
HENRIK STENSON DNQ
MATTEO MANASSERO 125/1
BEN CRANE 125/1
THOMAS BJORN 150/1
MARTIN LAIRD 100/1
JOHN SENDEN 100/1
ROBERT KARLSSON 150/1
MARK WILSON 150/1
RYAN MOORE DNQ
VIJAY SINGH 150/1
JOHNSON WAGNER DNQ
ANTHONY KIM DNQ
CAMILO VILLEGAS DNQ
SANG-MOON BAE 200/1
JONATHAN BYRD 60/1
KEVIN NA 125/1
LUCAS GLOVER 200/1
STEWART CINK 150/1
JEFF OVERTON DNQ
JOHN HUH DNQ
CARL PETTERSSON 100/1
TREVOR IMMELMAN 150/1
MIGUEL ANGEL JIMENEZ 200/1
RYO ISHIKAWA 150/1
ALVARO QUIROS 150/1
TIM CLARK 150/1
BUD CAULEY DNQ
BRYCE MOLDER DNQ
ROBERT ALLENBY DNQ
PAUL LAWRIE WD
RYAN PALMER DNQ
SPENCER LEVIN 200/1
RICKY BARNES DNQ
KYUNG-TAE KIM 200/1
ROSS FISHER DNQ
RORY SABBATINI DNQ
J.B. HOLMES DNQ
ROBERT GARRIGUS 200/1
ROBERT ROCK 250/1
CHEZ REAVIE 500/1
GREG CHALMERS DNQ
SEUNG-YUL NOH DNQ
ANDERS HANSEN 250/1
SIMON DYSON 250/1
EDOARDO MOLINARI DNQ
PATRICK CANTLAY 200/1
GONZALO FERNANDEZ-CASTANO 250/1
NICOLAS COLSAERTS 150/1
DARREN CLARKE WD
KEVIN CHAPPELL 500/1
MICHAEL CAMPBELL 1000/1
OLIN BROWNE 1000/1
KELLY KRAFT DNQ
FIELD (all others) 12/1
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